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Red114
288155.7
215818.6
905417.4
Blue106
1011828.2
246836.4
887920.7
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1039420406080120140160180114106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+8Teleop
+8Endgame
+8Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
0Leave9
5Coral scored#3
26Coral points13
26Total auto22
TeleoperatedRed +4
14Coral scored#14
50Coral points52
1Processor algae#2
4Net algae#1
6Processor points12
16Net points4
22Algae points16
72Total teleop68
Reef
6L4#4
6L3#7
4L2#4
3L1 · trough#2
24Game pieces#20
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +8
0Foul points0
114Total score106

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
55.71.9
47.949.8
Auto11.9
Teleop35.9
End8.0
red by 19.3
2468
#10
36.41.6
31.032.6
Auto5.2
Teleop25.4
End5.8
Second
2158
#11
18.61.9
14.516.4
Auto3.9
Teleop13.0
End1.7
blue by 9.6
28.21.6
27.028.6
Auto5.5
Teleop13.6
End9.1
Third
9054
#12
17.41.9
15.817.6
Auto4.3
Teleop10.2
End2.8
blue by 3.3
8879
#16
20.71.6
14.816.4
Auto2.9
Teleop14.2
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
53%Auto oddsEarned46%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
10%Coral oddsMissed11%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
69%Barge oddsEarned79%Barge oddsEarned