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Red132
618011.8
950621.6
11885.3
Blue142
268938.6
680074.0
37439.7
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1221166080100140160180200132142

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
Teleop+6
Endgame+16
Fouls+10
AutonomousBlue +6
6Leave9
3Coral scored#4
17Coral points20
23Total auto29
Teleoperatedlevel
13Coral scored#19
45Coral points67
4Processor algae#1
5Net algae#4
24Processor points6
20Net points16
44Algae points22
89Total teleop89
Reef
5L4#8
5L3#7
3L2#6
3L1 · trough#2
25Game pieces#28
BargeBlue +10
14Cage & park24
14Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +10
6Foul points0
132Total score142

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
118
#1
85.31.2
80.181.3
Auto19.8
Teleop54.4
End11.1
red by 11.3
74.02.5
65.367.8
Auto17.1
Teleop47.7
End9.1
Second
9506
#14
21.61.7
19.120.8
Auto3.7
Teleop17.0
End0.8
blue by 17.0
38.62.5
32.234.7
Auto6.6
Teleop23.1
End9.0
Third
6180
#23
11.81.2
8.810.0
Auto0.9
Teleop8.3
End2.6
red by 2.1
3743
#20
9.72.5
7.19.6
Auto3.5
Teleop4.6
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
60%Auto oddsEarned89%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
57%Coral oddsMissed12%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
89%Barge oddsEarned95%Barge oddsEarned