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Red46
37439.7
837017.9
957719.4
Blue80
425113.0
1003215.8
857630.4
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4563020801001201401604680

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+2Teleop
Endgame+10
Fouls+34
AutonomousBlue +3
3Leave3
1Coral scored#2
6Coral points9
9Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +5
3Coral scored#3
11Coral points12
1Processor algae#0
1Net algae#1
6Processor points0
4Net points4
10Algae points4
21Total teleop16
Reef
2L4#2
1L3#1
1L2#1
0L1 · trough#1
6Game pieces#6
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +34
12Foul points36
46Total score80

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9577
#24
19.40.8
18.417.6
Auto4.3
Teleop12.6
End2.4
blue by 11.0
8576
#15
30.40.8
28.327.5
Auto5.1
Teleop18.9
End6.4
Second
8370
#17
17.90.8
17.416.7
Auto4.3
Teleop10.7
End2.9
red by 2.2
15.81.0
15.814.8
Auto3.5
Teleop8.1
End4.2
Third
3743
#20
9.70.8
9.68.8
Auto3.5
Teleop4.6
End1.6
blue by 3.3
4251
#21
13.01.0
11.410.4
Auto4.1
Teleop6.7
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
30%Auto oddsMissed30%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
35%Barge oddsMissed65%Barge oddsEarned