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Red103
950621.6
905417.4
637744.0
Blue127
62441.0
618011.8
41852.7
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions89107406080100120140160180103127

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+18
Teleop+22
Endgame+26
Fouls+24
AutonomousBlue +18
0Leave0
2Coral scored#6
12Coral points30
12Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +4
19Coral scored#13
69Coral points45
1Processor algae#3
1Net algae#5
6Processor points18
4Net points20
10Algae points38
79Total teleop83
Reef
7L4#6
5L3#4
6L2#4
3L1 · trough#5
23Game pieces#27
BargeBlue +4
2Cage & park6
2Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +24
10Foul points8
103Total score127

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.00.1
44.344.2
Auto6.3
Teleop35.3
End2.4
blue by 8.7
418
#4
52.70.9
47.848.7
Auto11.6
Teleop35.3
End5.8
Second
9506
#14
21.60.1
20.820.8
Auto3.7
Teleop17.0
End0.8
blue by 19.5
624
#5
41.00.9
37.137.9
Auto10.2
Teleop26.0
End4.8
Third
9054
#12
17.40.1
17.617.6
Auto4.3
Teleop10.2
End2.8
red by 5.6
6180
#23
11.80.9
10.010.8
Auto0.9
Teleop8.3
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
74%Auto oddsEarned76%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
18%Coral oddsEarned19%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
45%Barge oddsMissed78%Barge oddsMissed