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Red134
680074.0
950621.6
837017.9
Blue46
905417.4
957719.4
1003215.8
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13147010015020013446

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+80Teleop
+88Endgame
+88Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
6Leave0
5Coral scored#2
24Coral points9
30Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +59
17Coral scored#6
62Coral points23
2Processor algae#0
4Net algae#2
12Processor points0
16Net points8
28Algae points8
90Total teleop31
Reef
10L4#3
6L3#3
3L2#1
3L1 · trough#1
28Game pieces#10
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +88
0Foul points0
134Total score46

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
74.01.0
68.269.2
Auto17.1
Teleop47.7
End9.1
red by 54.6
9577
#24
19.41.2
17.616.4
Auto4.3
Teleop12.6
End2.4
Second
9506
#14
21.61.2
20.821.9
Auto3.7
Teleop17.0
End0.8
red by 4.2
9054
#12
17.41.2
17.616.4
Auto4.3
Teleop10.2
End2.8
Third
8370
#17
17.91.0
16.717.6
Auto4.3
Teleop10.7
End2.9
red by 2.2
15.81.5
14.813.3
Auto3.5
Teleop8.1
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
80%Auto oddsEarned41%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
31%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
80%Barge oddsEarned40%Barge oddsMissed