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Red126
618011.8
11885.3
505212.3
Blue156
288155.7
857630.4
268735.0
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions119120100110130140150126156

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+20
Endgame+30
Fouls+30
AutonomousBlue +4
0Leave9
5Coral scored#4
23Coral points18
23Total auto27
TeleoperatedBlue +16
19Coral scored#17
67Coral points61
1Processor algae#2
4Net algae#8
6Processor points12
16Net points32
22Algae points44
89Total teleop105
Reef
10L4#7
9L3#6
3L2#4
2L1 · trough#4
29Game pieces#31
BargeBlue +10
14Cage & park24
14Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +30
0Foul points0
126Total score156

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
118
#1
85.31.1
80.381.5
Auto19.8
Teleop54.4
End11.1
red by 29.6
55.72.8
50.853.6
Auto11.9
Teleop35.9
End8.0
Second
5052
#25
12.31.4
12.413.8
Auto1.4
Teleop9.2
End1.7
blue by 22.6
2687
#13
35.02.8
29.332.1
Auto6.1
Teleop20.6
End8.3
Third
6180
#23
11.81.1
10.812.0
Auto0.9
Teleop8.3
End2.6
blue by 18.6
8576
#15
30.42.8
27.530.3
Auto5.1
Teleop18.9
End6.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
63%Auto oddsEarned91%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
34%Coral oddsMissed13%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
79%Barge oddsEarned94%Barge oddsEarned