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Red98
278931.0
425113.0
637744.0
Blue52
37439.7
931117.6
215818.6
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions105500204060801201401609852

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+9Auto
+54Teleop
+52Endgame
+46Fouls
AutonomousRed +9
6Leave3
2Coral scored#1
12Coral points6
18Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +45
16Coral scored#6
56Coral points23
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#1
6Processor points6
16Net points4
22Algae points10
78Total teleop33
Reef
7L4#2
5L3#2
4L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
23Game pieces#9
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +46
0Foul points6
98Total score52

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.00.4
44.244.6
Auto6.3
Teleop35.3
End2.4
red by 25.4
2158
#11
18.60.5
19.118.6
Auto3.9
Teleop13.0
End1.7
Second
31.00.5
29.429.9
Auto6.4
Teleop21.1
End3.5
red by 13.4
9311
#18
17.60.5
17.216.7
Auto3.9
Teleop11.5
End2.2
Third
4251
#21
13.00.5
10.410.9
Auto4.1
Teleop6.7
End2.2
red by 3.3
3743
#20
9.70.5
8.88.3
Auto3.5
Teleop4.6
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
78%Auto oddsEarned16%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
40%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
43%Barge oddsMissed31%Barge oddsMissed