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Red174
41852.7
680074.0
957719.4
Blue83
913712.8
268938.6
950621.6
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions161675010015020025017483

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+32Auto
+91Teleop
+91Endgame
+91Fouls
AutonomousRed +32
3Leave3
8Coral scored#2
41Coral points9
44Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +59
22Coral scored#9
80Coral points33
2Processor algae#2
6Net algae#3
12Processor points12
24Net points12
36Algae points24
116Total teleop57
Reef
9L4#3
12L3#4
6L2#3
3L1 · trough#1
38Game pieces#16
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +91
0Foul points0
174Total score83

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
74.01.7
69.270.9
Auto17.1
Teleop47.7
End9.1
red by 35.4
38.60.2
37.737.9
Auto6.6
Teleop23.1
End9.0
Second
418
#4
52.71.7
50.452.2
Auto11.6
Teleop35.3
End5.8
red by 31.1
9506
#14
21.60.3
21.922.2
Auto3.7
Teleop17.0
End0.8
Third
9577
#24
19.41.7
16.418.1
Auto4.3
Teleop12.6
End2.4
red by 6.5
9137
#22
12.80.3
9.59.8
Auto4.5
Teleop7.0
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
91%Auto oddsEarned89%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
46%Coral oddsEarned5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
78%Barge oddsEarned81%Barge oddsEarned