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Red169
905417.4
11885.3
246836.4
Blue104
1003215.8
887920.7
268735.0
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16867050100150200250169104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+20Auto
+61Teleop
+59Endgame
+65Fouls
AutonomousRed +20
3Leave6
7Coral scored#2
34Coral points11
37Total auto17
TeleoperatedRed +41
15Coral scored#12
54Coral points43
2Processor algae#1
9Net algae#3
12Processor points6
36Net points12
48Algae points18
102Total teleop61
Reef
9L4#5
7L3#5
4L2#3
2L1 · trough#1
33Game pieces#18
BargeBlue +2
24Cage & park26
24Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +65
6Foul points0
169Total score104

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
118
#1
85.30.7
81.582.2
Auto19.8
Teleop54.4
End11.1
red by 50.3
2687
#13
35.01.6
32.133.7
Auto6.1
Teleop20.6
End8.3
Second
2468
#10
36.40.7
36.036.7
Auto5.2
Teleop25.4
End5.8
red by 15.7
8879
#16
20.71.6
18.820.4
Auto2.9
Teleop14.2
End3.6
Third
9054
#12
17.40.7
16.417.1
Auto4.3
Teleop10.2
End2.8
red by 1.6
15.81.8
13.315.1
Auto3.5
Teleop8.1
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
89%Auto oddsEarned46%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
47%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
92%Barge oddsEarned60%Barge oddsEarned