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Red138
931117.6
288155.7
278931.0
Blue74
837017.9
618011.8
857630.4
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions121635010015020013874

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+20Auto
+64Teleop
+64Endgame
+64Fouls
AutonomousRed +20
0Leave3
5Coral scored#1
26Coral points3
26Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +44
18Coral scored#8
66Coral points30
2Processor algae#2
5Net algae#3
12Processor points12
20Net points12
32Algae points24
98Total teleop54
Reef
10L4#4
6L3#3
4L2#1
3L1 · trough#1
30Game pieces#14
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +64
0Foul points0
138Total score74

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
55.71.5
53.655.1
Auto11.9
Teleop35.9
End8.0
red by 25.3
8576
#15
30.40.1
30.330.4
Auto5.1
Teleop18.9
End6.4
Second
31.01.7
29.931.6
Auto6.4
Teleop21.1
End3.5
red by 13.0
8370
#17
17.90.1
17.617.7
Auto4.3
Teleop10.7
End2.9
Third
9311
#18
17.61.5
16.718.2
Auto3.9
Teleop11.5
End2.2
red by 5.8
6180
#23
11.80.1
12.012.0
Auto0.9
Teleop8.3
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
78%Auto oddsEarned36%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
14%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
80%Barge oddsEarned76%Barge oddsEarned