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Red161
636980.5
57904.6
14868.2
Blue109
10014B12.7
271845.8
949252.2
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions177112050150200250300161109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+34Teleop
+54Endgame
+52Fouls
Autonomouslevel
9Leave0
4Coral scored#6
21Coral points30
30Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +34
23Coral scored#17
83Coral points61
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#1
6Processor points6
16Net points4
22Algae points10
105Total teleop71
Reef
12L4#6
6L3#9
4L2#6
5L1 · trough#2
32Game pieces#25
BargeRed +20
26Cage & park6
26Total endgame6
Penalties & totalRed +52
0Foul points2
161Total score109

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
80.50.2
80.380.5
Auto19.9
Teleop52.1
End8.4
red by 28.2
9492
#18
52.20.1
52.352.2
Auto12.5
Teleop32.3
End7.4
Second
148
#15
68.20.2
68.068.2
Auto10.4
Teleop50.6
End7.2
red by 22.4
45.80.1
45.945.8
Auto11.7
Teleop28.6
End5.5
Third
5790
#28
4.60.3
4.34.6
Auto2.9
Teleop0.8
End0.8
blue by 8.1
12.70.1
12.812.7
Auto4.4
Teleop6.4
End1.9