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Red154
636980.5
57904.6
14868.2
Blue102
10014B12.7
271845.8
949252.2
81%Model gave it19%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions178114050150200250300154102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+28Auto
+62Teleop
+52Endgame
+52Fouls
AutonomousRed +28
3Leave3
8Coral scored#3
41Coral points13
44Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +34
16Coral scored#16
58Coral points58
4Processor algae#1
6Net algae#2
24Processor points6
24Net points8
48Algae points14
106Total teleop72
Reef
10L4#6
5L3#6
5L2#5
4L1 · trough#2
34Game pieces#22
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Penalties & totalRed +52
0Foul points0
154Total score102

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
80.50.0
80.280.3
Auto19.9
Teleop52.1
End8.4
red by 28.2
9492
#18
52.20.2
52.552.3
Auto12.5
Teleop32.3
End7.4
Second
148
#15
68.20.0
68.068.0
Auto10.4
Teleop50.6
End7.2
red by 22.4
45.80.2
46.145.9
Auto11.7
Teleop28.6
End5.5
Third
5790
#28
4.60.1
4.24.3
Auto2.9
Teleop0.8
End0.8
blue by 8.1
12.70.4
13.212.8
Auto4.4
Teleop6.4
End1.9