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Red146
10014B12.7
271845.8
949252.2
Blue104
677321.9
45734.9
1034045.2
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions125111050100150200146104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+22Teleop
+34Endgame
+42Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
6Leave3
6Coral scored#5
31Coral points27
37Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +15
15Coral scored#13
55Coral points48
3Processor algae#1
3Net algae#4
18Processor points6
12Net points16
30Algae points22
85Total teleop70
Reef
6L4#9
7L3#4
4L2#2
4L1 · trough#3
27Game pieces#23
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +42
8Foul points0
146Total score104

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9492
#18
52.20.6
51.952.5
Auto12.5
Teleop32.3
End7.4
red by 7.0
45.20.0
45.145.2
Auto10.7
Teleop30.4
End4.0
Second
45.80.6
45.546.1
Auto11.7
Teleop28.6
End5.5
red by 10.9
457
#21
34.90.0
34.934.9
Auto8.0
Teleop20.4
End6.5
Third
12.71.1
12.113.2
Auto4.4
Teleop6.4
End1.9
blue by 9.2
21.90.1
21.821.9
Auto4.9
Teleop18.0
End-1.1