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Red112
677321.9
45734.9
1034045.2
Blue95
912838.6
543127.1
1001433.2
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1131129510010511011512011295

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
+23Teleop
+11Endgame
+17Fouls
AutonomousRed +17
6Leave6
5Coral scored#2
27Coral points10
33Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +6
11Coral scored#14
39Coral points51
2Processor algae#1
5Net algae#2
12Processor points6
20Net points8
32Algae points14
71Total teleop65
Reef
6L4#5
4L3#4
3L2#4
3L1 · trough#3
23Game pieces#19
BargeBlue +12
2Cage & park14
2Total endgame14
Penalties & totalRed +17
6Foul points0
112Total score95

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.20.1
45.045.1
Auto10.7
Teleop30.4
End4.0
red by 6.6
9128
#14
38.60.1
38.738.6
Auto8.6
Teleop24.8
End5.2
Second
457
#21
34.90.1
34.834.9
Auto8.0
Teleop20.4
End6.5
red by 1.8
33.20.1
33.333.2
Auto10.5
Teleop18.1
End4.6
Third
21.90.2
21.621.8
Auto4.9
Teleop18.0
End-1.1
blue by 5.2
27.10.1
27.227.1
Auto3.6
Teleop21.6
End1.9