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Red124
636980.5
57904.6
14868.2
Blue118
10014B12.7
271845.8
949252.2
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions182112050150200250300124118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+22Auto
+28Teleop
+8Endgame
+6Fouls
AutonomousRed +22
0Leave9
8Coral scored#2
41Coral points10
41Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +6
15Coral scored#15
55Coral points55
1Processor algae#2
4Net algae#1
6Processor points12
16Net points4
22Algae points16
77Total teleop71
Reef
8L4#7
9L3#6
3L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
28Game pieces#20
BargeBlue +20
6Cage & park26
6Total endgame26
Penalties & totalRed +6
0Foul points2
124Total score118

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
80.50.8
81.080.2
Auto19.9
Teleop52.1
End8.4
red by 28.2
9492
#18
52.20.2
51.751.9
Auto12.5
Teleop32.3
End7.4
Second
148
#15
68.20.8
68.768.0
Auto10.4
Teleop50.6
End7.2
red by 22.4
45.80.2
45.345.5
Auto11.7
Teleop28.6
End5.5
Third
5790
#28
4.61.3
5.54.2
Auto2.9
Teleop0.8
End0.8
blue by 8.1
12.70.3
11.812.1
Auto4.4
Teleop6.4
End1.9