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Red96
258338.7
419217.4
885828.2
Blue109
677321.9
45734.9
1034045.2
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9611705015020096109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
Teleop+43
Endgame+31
Fouls+13
AutonomousBlue +6
6Leave0
1Coral scored#3
4Coral points16
10Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +37
12Coral scored#14
42Coral points51
1Processor algae#3
1Net algae#5
6Processor points18
4Net points20
10Algae points38
52Total teleop89
Reef
6L4#6
3L3#7
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#1
15Game pieces#25
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Penalties & totalBlue +13
18Foul points0
96Total score109

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2583
#22
38.70.1
38.838.7
Auto8.7
Teleop29.8
End0.2
blue by 6.5
45.20.2
44.845.0
Auto10.7
Teleop30.4
End4.0
Second
28.20.1
28.328.2
Auto1.9
Teleop22.8
End3.6
blue by 6.8
457
#21
34.90.2
34.634.8
Auto8.0
Teleop20.4
End6.5
Third
4192
#25
17.40.1
17.517.4
Auto5.1
Teleop12.5
End-0.3
blue by 4.5
21.90.3
21.321.6
Auto4.9
Teleop18.0
End-1.1