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Red107
129651.5
941823.0
874956.8
Blue123
912838.6
543127.1
1001433.2
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14697050200250300107123

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
Teleop+12
Endgame+12
Fouls+16
AutonomousRed +10
6Leave0
5Coral scored#5
27Coral points23
33Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +22
12Coral scored#18
42Coral points64
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
6Processor points6
8Net points8
14Algae points14
56Total teleop78
Reef
6L4#9
3L3#7
4L2#4
4L1 · trough#3
20Game pieces#26
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Penalties & totalBlue +16
2Foul points6
107Total score123

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56.80.6
57.456.8
Auto14.9
Teleop30.9
End11.0
red by 18.2
9128
#14
38.60.4
38.238.7
Auto8.6
Teleop24.8
End5.2
Second
1296
#19
51.50.6
52.251.5
Auto6.4
Teleop36.1
End9.1
red by 18.4
33.20.4
32.833.3
Auto10.5
Teleop18.1
End4.6
Third
9418
#20
23.00.6
23.623.0
Auto4.3
Teleop16.3
End2.4
blue by 4.1
27.10.4
26.827.2
Auto3.6
Teleop21.6
End1.9