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Red51
521215.4
910552.4
57904.6
Blue82
77257.2
541156.7
885828.2
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9911402003004005005182

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+15
Teleop+35
Endgame+37
Fouls+31
AutonomousBlue +15
3Leave6
2Coral scored#5
12Coral points24
15Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +20
5Coral scored#10
18Coral points36
1Processor algae#0
1Net algae#3
6Processor points0
4Net points12
10Algae points12
28Total teleop48
Reef
3L4#4
2L3#4
1L2#4
1L1 · trough#3
9Game pieces#18
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +31
6Foul points0
51Total score82

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9105
#26
52.43.2
57.654.4
Auto12.9
Teleop33.9
End5.7
blue by 4.3
5411
#12
56.71.5
59.558.0
Auto16.2
Teleop33.8
End6.7
Second
5212
#24
15.43.2
18.615.4
Auto2.9
Teleop12.9
End-0.3
blue by 12.8
28.21.5
30.529.0
Auto1.9
Teleop22.8
End3.6
Third
5790
#28
4.65.3
10.75.4
Auto2.9
Teleop0.8
End0.8
blue by 2.6
7725
#16
7.21.5
8.77.2
Auto4.6
Teleop2.7
End-0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
62%Auto oddsEarned77%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
16%Coral oddsMissed18%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
37%Barge oddsMissed67%Barge oddsMissed