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Red28
912838.6
10014B12.7
941823.0
Blue82
70919.0
617115.1
677321.9
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions107260501502002882

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+52
Endgame+54
Fouls+54
AutonomousBlue +7
6Leave9
1Coral scored#2
6Coral points10
12Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +45
3Coral scored#14
10Coral points49
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
0Processor points6
4Net points4
4Algae points10
14Total teleop59
Reef
1L4#6
1L3#5
1L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
5Game pieces#18
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +54
0Foul points0
28Total score82

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9128
#14
38.64.3
43.739.4
Auto8.6
Teleop24.8
End5.2
red by 16.7
21.95.0
17.122.1
Auto4.9
Teleop18.0
End-1.1
Second
9418
#20
23.04.3
29.525.2
Auto4.3
Teleop16.3
End2.4
red by 7.9
6171
#23
15.13.0
12.115.1
Auto4.3
Teleop8.9
End2.0
Third
12.77.2
19.512.3
Auto4.4
Teleop6.4
End1.9
red by 3.7
7091
#10
9.03.0
8.011.0
Auto2.9
Teleop4.9
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
81%Auto oddsEarned60%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed2%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
77%Barge oddsMissed14%Barge oddsMissed