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Red120
271845.8
543127.1
1034045.2
Blue106
874956.8
1001433.2
419217.4
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12611980100140160120106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+18
+12Teleop
+14Endgame
+14Fouls
AutonomousBlue +18
3Leave0
4Coral scored#8
20Coral points41
23Total auto41
TeleoperatedRed +30
16Coral scored#9
57Coral points31
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#2
12Processor points12
12Net points8
24Algae points20
81Total teleop51
Reef
7L4#5
8L3#6
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#3
25Game pieces#21
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +14
0Foul points0
120Total score106

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.80.1
45.545.6
Auto11.7
Teleop28.6
End5.5
blue by 11.0
56.80.4
59.459.0
Auto14.9
Teleop30.9
End11.0
Second
45.20.1
45.245.3
Auto10.7
Teleop30.4
End4.0
red by 12.0
33.20.4
34.434.0
Auto10.5
Teleop18.1
End4.6
Third
27.10.1
27.827.9
Auto3.6
Teleop21.6
End1.9
red by 9.7
4192
#25
17.40.4
18.618.2
Auto5.1
Teleop12.5
End-0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
87%Auto oddsEarned64%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
46%Coral oddsMissed12%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
49%Barge oddsEarned54%Barge oddsEarned