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Red94
543127.1
949252.2
10014B12.7
Blue26
57904.6
2718B12.3
873210.1
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1285601001502002503003504009426

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
+62Teleop
+64Endgame
+68Fouls
AutonomousRed +17
3Leave6
4Coral scored#0
20Coral points0
23Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +45
11Coral scored#3
41Coral points10
1Processor algae#0
3Net algae#1
6Processor points0
12Net points4
18Algae points4
59Total teleop14
Reef
5L4#1
4L3#1
4L2#1
2L1 · trough#0
19Game pieces#4
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +68
6Foul points2
94Total score26

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9492
#18
52.21.6
57.556.0
Auto12.5
Teleop32.3
End7.4
red by 39.9
12.34.3
21.917.6
Auto1.8
Teleop8.9
End1.5
Second
27.11.6
28.827.2
Auto3.6
Teleop21.6
End1.9
red by 17.0
8732
#29
10.12.6
17.114.5
Auto2.4
Teleop7.3
End0.5
Third
12.72.6
20.017.4
Auto4.4
Teleop6.4
End1.9
red by 8.1
5790
#28
4.64.3
17.813.5
Auto2.9
Teleop0.8
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
82%Auto oddsEarned52%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
44%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
53%Barge oddsMissed24%Barge oddsMissed