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Red112
284834.6
419217.4
910552.4
Blue21
617115.1
521215.4
258338.7
80%Model gave it20%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15210005020025030011221

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+47Teleop
+49Endgame
+91Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
6Leave6
3Coral scored#1
14Coral points3
20Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +36
9Coral scored#3
32Coral points10
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#0
6Processor points0
8Net points0
14Algae points0
46Total teleop10
Reef
3L4#2
5L3#1
2L2#1
2L1 · trough#0
15Game pieces#4
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +91
42Foul points0
112Total score21

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9105
#26
52.44.3
65.060.7
Auto12.9
Teleop33.9
End5.7
red by 13.7
2583
#22
38.75.0
52.247.3
Auto8.7
Teleop29.8
End0.2
Second
34.64.3
44.139.8
Auto10.7
Teleop24.4
End-0.5
red by 19.2
5212
#24
15.45.0
24.519.6
Auto2.9
Teleop12.9
End-0.3
Third
4192
#25
17.44.3
24.820.5
Auto5.1
Teleop12.5
End-0.3
red by 2.3
6171
#23
15.15.0
18.813.8
Auto4.3
Teleop8.9
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
95%Auto oddsMissed75%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
24%Coral oddsMissed12%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
33%Barge oddsMissed15%Barge oddsMissed