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Red63
949252.2
57904.6
617115.1
Blue102
45734.9
1034045.2
521215.4
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10012805015020025030035040063102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
Teleop+43
Endgame+33
Fouls+39
AutonomousBlue +11
6Leave9
3Coral scored#4
13Coral points21
19Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +32
6Coral scored#8
22Coral points30
0Processor algae#2
1Net algae#4
0Processor points12
4Net points16
4Algae points28
26Total teleop58
Reef
4L4#5
2L3#4
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
10Game pieces#18
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +39
2Foul points8
63Total score102

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9492
#18
52.21.7
56.054.3
Auto12.5
Teleop32.3
End7.4
red by 7.0
45.21.0
46.245.2
Auto10.7
Teleop30.4
End4.0
Second
6171
#23
15.11.7
13.812.1
Auto4.3
Teleop8.9
End2.0
blue by 19.8
457
#21
34.91.0
40.339.3
Auto8.0
Teleop20.4
End6.5
Third
5790
#28
4.62.8
13.510.7
Auto2.9
Teleop0.8
End0.8
blue by 10.8
5212
#24
15.41.0
19.618.6
Auto2.9
Teleop12.9
End-0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
65%Auto oddsEarned78%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
11%Coral oddsMissed27%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
57%Barge oddsEarned70%Barge oddsEarned