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Red99
541156.7
912838.6
284834.6
Blue94
10014B12.7
271845.8
77257.2
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1726101001502002503003509994

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+8Auto
+23Teleop
+11Endgame
+5Fouls
AutonomousRed +8
9Leave3
4Coral scored#4
21Coral points19
30Total auto22
TeleoperatedRed +15
11Coral scored#9
41Coral points34
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#1
12Processor points12
12Net points4
24Algae points16
65Total teleop50
Reef
6L4#5
4L3#4
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
20Game pieces#16
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +5
0Foul points6
99Total score94

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5411
#12
56.73.6
63.159.5
Auto16.2
Teleop33.8
End6.7
red by 10.9
45.81.3
44.245.5
Auto11.7
Teleop28.6
End5.5
Second
9128
#14
38.63.6
47.343.7
Auto8.6
Teleop24.8
End5.2
red by 25.9
12.72.1
17.419.5
Auto4.4
Teleop6.4
End1.9
Third
34.63.6
39.836.2
Auto10.7
Teleop24.4
End-0.5
red by 27.3
7725
#16
7.21.3
7.48.7
Auto4.6
Teleop2.7
End-0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsEarned74%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
38%Coral oddsMissed16%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
85%Barge oddsMissed20%Barge oddsEarned