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Red155
636980.5
57904.6
14868.2
Blue68
284834.6
70919.0
910552.4
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18610805015020025030015568

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+81Teleop
+89Endgame
+87Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
6Leave3
5Coral scored#4
24Coral points20
30Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +74
17Coral scored#6
61Coral points23
3Processor algae#1
8Net algae#2
18Processor points6
32Net points8
50Algae points14
111Total teleop37
Reef
8L4#4
7L3#3
3L2#2
4L1 · trough#1
33Game pieces#13
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Penalties & totalRed +87
0Foul points2
155Total score68

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
80.50.1
80.980.8
Auto19.9
Teleop52.1
End8.4
red by 28.0
9105
#26
52.40.9
54.453.6
Auto12.9
Teleop33.9
End5.7
Second
148
#15
68.20.1
68.668.5
Auto10.4
Teleop50.6
End7.2
red by 33.6
34.60.9
36.635.7
Auto10.7
Teleop24.4
End-0.5
Third
5790
#28
4.60.2
5.45.1
Auto2.9
Teleop0.8
End0.8
blue by 4.4
7091
#10
9.00.9
11.010.1
Auto2.9
Teleop4.9
End1.2