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Red96
677321.9
45734.9
1034045.2
Blue108
129651.5
941823.0
874956.8
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions109159020030040050060096108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+17
+4Teleop
Endgame+8
Fouls+12
AutonomousBlue +17
9Leave6
3Coral scored#7
14Coral points34
23Total auto40
TeleoperatedRed +21
14Coral scored#9
51Coral points32
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#1
6Processor points12
12Net points4
18Algae points16
69Total teleop48
Reef
7L4#7
5L3#4
2L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
21Game pieces#19
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Penalties & totalBlue +12
0Foul points4
96Total score108

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.20.1
45.345.2
Auto10.7
Teleop30.4
End4.0
blue by 11.6
56.80.8
59.058.2
Auto14.9
Teleop30.9
End11.0
Second
457
#21
34.90.1
35.134.9
Auto8.0
Teleop20.4
End6.5
blue by 16.6
1296
#19
51.50.8
53.753.0
Auto6.4
Teleop36.1
End9.1
Third
21.90.2
22.121.9
Auto4.9
Teleop18.0
End-1.1
blue by 1.1
9418
#20
23.00.8
25.224.4
Auto4.3
Teleop16.3
End2.4