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Red57
912838.6
543127.1
1001433.2
Blue66
258338.7
419217.4
885828.2
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions112890501502002505766

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+13Auto
Teleop+7
+3Endgame
Fouls+9
AutonomousRed +13
0Leave3
3Coral scored#0
16Coral points0
16Total auto3
TeleoperatedBlue +20
5Coral scored#10
17Coral points37
0Processor algae#0
2Net algae#2
0Processor points0
8Net points8
8Algae points8
25Total teleop45
Reef
3L4#3
3L3#4
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
10Game pieces#12
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Penalties & totalBlue +9
0Foul points12
57Total score66

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9128
#14
38.61.0
39.438.4
Auto8.6
Teleop24.8
End5.2
blue by 0.1
2583
#22
38.70.7
39.538.8
Auto8.7
Teleop29.8
End0.2
Second
33.21.0
34.033.0
Auto10.5
Teleop18.1
End4.6
red by 5.0
28.20.7
29.028.3
Auto1.9
Teleop22.8
End3.6
Third
27.11.0
27.926.9
Auto3.6
Teleop21.6
End1.9
red by 9.7
4192
#25
17.40.7
18.217.5
Auto5.1
Teleop12.5
End-0.3