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Red100
912838.6
543127.1
1001433.2
Blue78
750621.0
2718B12.3
541156.7
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10697020030040050060070080010078

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+28Teleop
+28Endgame
+22Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
3Leave9
3Coral scored#0
13Coral points0
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +21
15Coral scored#10
54Coral points37
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
6Processor points6
8Net points4
14Algae points10
68Total teleop47
Reef
7L4#4
4L3#2
4L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
21Game pieces#12
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +22
0Foul points6
100Total score78

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9128
#14
38.60.2
38.438.2
Auto8.6
Teleop24.8
End5.2
blue by 18.1
5411
#12
56.70.6
57.356.7
Auto16.2
Teleop33.8
End6.7
Second
33.20.2
33.032.8
Auto10.5
Teleop18.1
End4.6
red by 12.2
21.00.6
21.621.0
Auto2.7
Teleop13.6
End4.7
Third
27.10.2
26.926.8
Auto3.6
Teleop21.6
End1.9
red by 14.8
12.31.0
13.312.3
Auto1.8
Teleop8.9
End1.5