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Red173
636980.5
57904.6
14868.2
Blue106
129651.5
941823.0
874956.8
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17514150100200250173106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+69Teleop
+67Endgame
+67Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
6Leave3
6Coral scored#5
31Coral points27
37Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +62
26Coral scored#10
92Coral points36
3Processor algae#2
3Net algae#3
18Processor points12
12Net points12
30Algae points24
122Total teleop60
Reef
16L4#3
6L3#5
5L2#4
5L1 · trough#3
38Game pieces#20
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +67
0Foul points0
173Total score106

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
80.50.2
80.881.0
Auto19.9
Teleop52.1
End8.4
red by 23.7
56.80.8
58.257.4
Auto14.9
Teleop30.9
End11.0
Second
148
#15
68.20.2
68.568.7
Auto10.4
Teleop50.6
End7.2
red by 16.6
1296
#19
51.50.8
53.052.2
Auto6.4
Teleop36.1
End9.1
Third
5790
#28
4.60.4
5.15.5
Auto2.9
Teleop0.8
End0.8
blue by 18.4
9418
#20
23.00.8
24.423.6
Auto4.3
Teleop16.3
End2.4