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Red99
676811.5
331039.1
14863.3
Blue133
541145.4
910547.0
652614.2
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1231085010015020099133

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
Teleop+24
Endgame+34
Fouls+34
AutonomousBlue +21
9Leave9
1Coral scored#6
7Coral points28
16Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +3
11Coral scored#13
39Coral points48
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#4
12Processor points6
16Net points16
28Algae points22
67Total teleop70
Reef
5L4#5
3L3#8
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#3
18Game pieces#24
BargeBlue +10
16Cage & park26
16Total endgame26
Penalties & totalBlue +34
0Foul points0
99Total score133

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
148
#1
63.30.4
63.663.3
Auto14.2
Teleop41.2
End7.8
red by 16.2
47.00.6
46.447.0
Auto10.5
Teleop31.3
End5.2
Second
39.10.4
39.539.1
Auto10.1
Teleop22.1
End6.8
blue by 6.3
45.40.6
44.845.4
Auto10.4
Teleop27.1
End7.9
Third
6768
#29
11.50.4
11.811.5
Auto3.9
Teleop7.1
End0.4
blue by 2.8
6526
#21
14.20.6
13.614.2
Auto3.3
Teleop10.0
End0.9