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Red118
676811.5
331039.1
14863.3
Blue163
541145.4
910547.0
881615.9
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12410850150200118163

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+8
Teleop+29
Endgame+39
Fouls+45
AutonomousBlue +8
9Leave0
3Coral scored#7
17Coral points34
26Total auto34
TeleoperatedBlue +21
14Coral scored#15
52Coral points53
1Processor algae#3
2Net algae#4
6Processor points18
8Net points16
14Algae points34
66Total teleop87
Reef
6L4#9
6L3#6
2L2#5
3L1 · trough#2
20Game pieces#29
BargeBlue +10
14Cage & park24
14Total endgame24
Penalties & totalBlue +45
12Foul points18
118Total score163

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
148
#1
63.30.2
63.863.6
Auto14.2
Teleop41.2
End7.8
red by 16.2
47.00.9
45.546.4
Auto10.5
Teleop31.3
End5.2
Second
39.10.2
39.739.5
Auto10.1
Teleop22.1
End6.8
blue by 6.3
45.40.9
43.844.8
Auto10.4
Teleop27.1
End7.9
Third
6768
#29
11.50.2
12.111.8
Auto3.9
Teleop7.1
End0.4
blue by 4.5
8816
#20
15.91.0
14.915.9
Auto4.4
Teleop10.0
End1.5