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Red150
676811.5
331039.1
14863.3
Blue122
541145.4
910547.0
881615.9
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12110750150200150122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+1
+26Teleop
+28Endgame
+28Fouls
AutonomousBlue +1
9Leave0
5Coral scored#7
24Coral points34
33Total auto34
TeleoperatedRed +27
21Coral scored#17
77Coral points60
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
12Processor points6
12Net points8
24Algae points14
101Total teleop74
Reef
8L4#8
8L3#8
5L2#3
5L1 · trough#5
31Game pieces#27
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Penalties & totalRed +28
0Foul points0
150Total score122

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
148
#1
63.30.8
63.063.8
Auto14.2
Teleop41.2
End7.8
red by 16.2
47.00.4
45.145.5
Auto10.5
Teleop31.3
End5.2
Second
39.10.8
38.939.7
Auto10.1
Teleop22.1
End6.8
blue by 6.3
45.40.4
43.443.8
Auto10.4
Teleop27.1
End7.9
Third
6768
#29
11.50.9
11.212.1
Auto3.9
Teleop7.1
End0.4
blue by 4.5
8816
#20
15.90.5
14.414.9
Auto4.4
Teleop10.0
End1.5