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Red94
617114.6
912848.7
129641.3
Blue103
541145.4
910547.0
881615.9
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions111108020030040050094103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+1
Endgame+9
Fouls+9
AutonomousBlue +7
3Leave6
4Coral scored#5
20Coral points24
23Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +6
13Coral scored#11
45Coral points41
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
12Processor points6
8Net points12
20Algae points18
65Total teleop59
Reef
5L4#8
5L3#4
5L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
21Game pieces#20
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Penalties & totalBlue +9
0Foul points0
94Total score103

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48.70.3
49.048.7
Auto13.8
Teleop30.1
End4.9
red by 1.7
47.00.0
45.145.1
Auto10.5
Teleop31.3
End5.2
Second
41.30.3
41.541.3
Auto7.0
Teleop25.0
End9.3
blue by 4.1
45.40.0
43.443.4
Auto10.4
Teleop27.1
End7.9
Third
6171
#16
14.60.3
14.814.6
Auto4.5
Teleop9.6
End0.5
blue by 1.3
8816
#20
15.90.0
14.414.4
Auto4.4
Teleop10.0
End1.5