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Red68
711925.5
873221.0
464118.2
Blue83
420622.5
541145.4
915614.1
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions549302040801001201406883

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
Teleop+5
Endgame+15
Fouls+15
AutonomousBlue +11
3Leave6
2Coral scored#3
9Coral points17
12Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +6
10Coral scored#8
36Coral points30
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
6Processor points6
8Net points8
14Algae points14
50Total teleop44
Reef
3L4#3
3L3#4
4L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
15Game pieces#14
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +15
0Foul points0
68Total score83

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7119
#10
25.51.5
18.319.8
Auto7.0
Teleop13.9
End4.6
blue by 19.9
45.40.2
30.430.6
Auto10.4
Teleop27.1
End7.9
Second
8732
#13
21.00.9
13.514.4
Auto4.8
Teleop14.3
End1.9
blue by 1.5
4206
#25
22.50.2
33.233.4
Auto5.8
Teleop14.7
End1.9
Third
4641
#14
18.21.5
22.824.3
Auto6.5
Teleop11.1
End0.7
red by 4.1
9156
#28
14.10.2
17.617.8
Auto4.0
Teleop7.5
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
42%Auto oddsEarned67%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
41%Barge oddsMissed34%Barge oddsEarned