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Red24
881615.9
32826.1
881813.5
Blue103
652614.2
949232.9
912848.7
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3479020406010012024103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+73
Endgame+75
Fouls+79
AutonomousBlue +14
3Leave6
1Coral scored#3
3Coral points14
6Total auto20
TeleoperatedBlue +59
2Coral scored#14
8Coral points49
1Processor algae#2
0Net algae#3
6Processor points12
0Net points12
6Algae points24
14Total teleop73
Reef
1L4#5
1L3#6
1L2#4
0L1 · trough#2
4Game pieces#22
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +79
0Foul points4
24Total score103

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8816
#20
15.91.6
11.19.5
Auto4.4
Teleop10.0
End1.5
blue by 32.8
48.73.2
35.138.2
Auto13.8
Teleop30.1
End4.9
Second
8818
#18
13.51.6
14.813.2
Auto2.7
Teleop10.3
End0.4
blue by 19.4
32.93.2
20.123.3
Auto5.1
Teleop25.6
End2.1
Third
3282
#22
6.11.6
9.88.2
Auto2.3
Teleop1.9
End1.9
blue by 8.1
6526
#21
14.21.9
12.214.1
Auto3.3
Teleop10.0
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
18%Auto oddsMissed27%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
23%Barge oddsMissed35%Barge oddsMissed