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Red114
284833.0
1031219.2
129641.3
Blue20
33557.6
750610.2
419225.5
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions83550204010012014011420

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
+82Teleop
+94Endgame
+94Fouls
AutonomousRed +17
6Leave6
3Coral scored#0
17Coral points0
23Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +65
13Coral scored#3
47Coral points10
2Processor algae#0
4Net algae#0
12Processor points0
16Net points0
28Algae points0
75Total teleop10
Reef
7L4#1
3L3#1
4L2#0
2L1 · trough#1
22Game pieces#3
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +94
0Foul points0
114Total score20

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.32.8
34.837.7
Auto7.0
Teleop25.0
End9.3
red by 15.7
4192
#24
25.53.6
21.818.2
Auto2.6
Teleop20.7
End2.3
Second
33.04.7
28.833.5
Auto8.8
Teleop21.7
End2.5
red by 22.8
7506
#19
10.23.6
18.214.7
Auto2.8
Teleop5.4
End2.1
Third
19.22.8
8.110.9
Auto4.3
Teleop13.0
End1.8
red by 11.6
3355
#27DQ
7.63.6
12.28.6
Auto2.8
Teleop3.0
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
54%Auto oddsEarned31%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
59%Barge oddsEarned23%Barge oddsMissed