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Red49
676811.5
915614.1
464118.2
Blue104
420622.5
14863.3
910547.0
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions53142010020049104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+53
Endgame+55
Fouls+55
AutonomousBlue +7
6Leave0
2Coral scored#5
10Coral points23
16Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +46
7Coral scored#15
25Coral points53
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#4
0Processor points6
4Net points16
4Algae points22
29Total teleop75
Reef
2L4#9
3L3#4
2L2#4
2L1 · trough#3
10Game pieces#25
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +55
0Foul points0
49Total score104

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4641
#14
18.20.8
23.522.8
Auto6.5
Teleop11.1
End0.7
blue by 45.0
148
#1
63.31.0
57.056.0
Auto14.2
Teleop41.2
End7.8
Second
9156
#28
14.10.8
18.317.6
Auto4.0
Teleop7.5
End2.6
blue by 32.9
47.01.6
26.725.1
Auto10.5
Teleop31.3
End5.2
Third
6768
#29
11.50.8
14.013.2
Auto3.9
Teleop7.1
End0.4
blue by 11.0
4206
#25
22.51.6
34.933.2
Auto5.8
Teleop14.7
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
40%Auto oddsEarned80%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
44%Barge oddsMissed83%Barge oddsMissed