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Red36
617114.6
543120.2
873221.0
Blue37
1001421.9
75354.1
881813.5
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions725302040801001201401603637

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
Teleop+3
Endgame+1
Fouls+1
AutonomousRed +7
6Leave3
1Coral scored#0
4Coral points0
10Total auto3
TeleoperatedBlue +10
4Coral scored#7
14Coral points24
0Processor algae#0
2Net algae#2
0Processor points0
8Net points8
8Algae points8
22Total teleop32
Reef
1L4#3
2L3#2
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
7Game pieces#9
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +1
0Foul points0
36Total score37

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8732
#13
21.01.7
15.313.5
Auto4.8
Teleop14.3
End1.9
blue by 0.9
21.91.3
19.017.7
Auto1.9
Teleop18.1
End2.0
Second
5431
#17
20.22.9
28.125.2
Auto3.0
Teleop14.9
End2.2
red by 6.7
8818
#18
13.51.3
16.114.8
Auto2.7
Teleop10.3
End0.4
Third
6171
#16
14.62.9
18.916.0
Auto4.5
Teleop9.6
End0.5
red by 10.4
7535
#31DQ
4.11.3
13.712.4
Auto1.5
Teleop1.0
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
35%Auto oddsMissed33%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
24%Barge oddsMissed19%Barge oddsMissed