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Red89
711925.5
541145.4
415318.9
Blue49
912848.7
568212.6
70918.3
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions77730501001502002508949

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+28Teleop
+40Endgame
+40Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
0Leave3
5Coral scored#3
23Coral points13
23Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +21
12Coral scored#6
44Coral points21
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
0Processor points6
8Net points4
8Algae points10
52Total teleop31
Reef
6L4#4
4L3#2
4L2#2
3L1 · trough#1
19Game pieces#11
BargeRed +12
14Cage & park2
14Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +40
0Foul points0
89Total score49

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.42.6
27.930.4
Auto10.4
Teleop27.1
End7.9
blue by 3.4
48.71.6
36.635.1
Auto13.8
Teleop30.1
End4.9
Second
7119
#10
25.52.6
15.718.3
Auto7.0
Teleop13.9
End4.6
red by 12.9
5682
#15
12.60.9
12.211.3
Auto3.0
Teleop7.1
End2.6
Third
18.92.6
22.425.0
Auto4.8
Teleop10.2
End3.8
red by 10.6
7091
#26
8.31.6
14.212.6
Auto2.9
Teleop5.3
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
43%Auto oddsEarned44%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
45%Barge oddsEarned31%Barge oddsMissed