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Red71
32826.1
915614.1
949232.9
Blue78
331039.1
1034023.2
94578.4
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions53632030407080907178

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+21
Endgame+31
Fouls+7
AutonomousBlue +4
0Leave9
3Coral scored#2
16Coral points11
16Total auto20
TeleoperatedBlue +17
5Coral scored#7
17Coral points24
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
0Processor points6
8Net points12
8Algae points18
25Total teleop42
Reef
3L4#2
2L3#2
1L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
10Game pieces#13
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +7
24Foul points0
71Total score78

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.90.2
20.320.1
Auto5.1
Teleop25.6
End2.1
blue by 6.2
39.11.4
28.029.4
Auto10.1
Teleop22.1
End6.8
Second
9156
#28
14.10.2
18.518.3
Auto4.0
Teleop7.5
End2.6
blue by 9.1
23.22.4
14.917.3
Auto4.2
Teleop17.3
End1.7
Third
3282
#22
6.10.2
10.09.8
Auto2.3
Teleop1.9
End1.9
blue by 2.2
9457
#30
8.42.4
13.716.1
Auto2.0
Teleop4.3
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
38%Auto oddsMissed33%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
33%Barge oddsEarned46%Barge oddsEarned