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Red89
912848.7
1031219.2
543120.2
Blue94
750610.2
129641.3
873221.0
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions81682040601001208994

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+1Teleop
+5Endgame
Fouls+5
AutonomousRed +11
0Leave9
5Coral scored#1
27Coral points7
27Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +10
9Coral scored#9
32Coral points32
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#3
6Processor points12
8Net points12
14Algae points24
46Total teleop56
Reef
6L4#5
4L3#2
3L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
17Game pieces#15
BargeRed +4
14Cage & park10
14Total endgame10
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +5
2Foul points12
89Total score94

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48.71.4
38.239.7
Auto13.8
Teleop30.1
End4.9
red by 7.5
41.31.1
37.738.7
Auto7.0
Teleop25.0
End9.3
Second
5431
#17
20.21.4
25.226.6
Auto3.0
Teleop14.9
End2.2
blue by 0.8
8732
#13
21.01.1
14.415.5
Auto4.8
Teleop14.3
End1.9
Third
19.20.8
10.911.8
Auto4.3
Teleop13.0
End1.8
red by 8.9
7506
#19
10.21.8
14.015.8
Auto2.8
Teleop5.4
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
40%Auto oddsMissed37%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
31%Barge oddsEarned42%Barge oddsEarned