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Red74
881813.5
419225.5
284833.0
Blue38
420622.5
1031219.2
676811.5
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7661020401001201407438

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+36Teleop
+36Endgame
+36Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
6Leave0
2Coral scored#2
10Coral points9
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +29
11Coral scored#5
38Coral points17
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#0
6Processor points6
8Net points0
14Algae points6
52Total teleop23
Reef
6L4#2
2L3#2
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
16Game pieces#8
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +36
0Foul points0
74Total score38

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.00.7
36.637.2
Auto8.8
Teleop21.7
End2.5
red by 10.6
4206
#25
22.52.3
33.431.2
Auto5.8
Teleop14.7
End1.9
Second
4192
#24
25.50.7
18.218.9
Auto2.6
Teleop20.7
End2.3
red by 6.3
19.21.4
11.810.4
Auto4.3
Teleop13.0
End1.8
Third
8818
#18
13.50.7
13.213.9
Auto2.7
Teleop10.3
End0.4
red by 2.0
6768
#29
11.52.3
13.210.9
Auto3.9
Teleop7.1
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
46%Auto oddsEarned54%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
29%Barge oddsMissed33%Barge oddsMissed