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Red87
14863.3
94578.4
32826.1
Blue88
331039.1
881615.9
711925.5
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions846120401001201408788

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+13Teleop
+23Endgame
Fouls+1
AutonomousBlue +3
9Leave9
2Coral scored#3
11Coral points14
20Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +16
8Coral scored#8
27Coral points29
3Processor algae#0
2Net algae#2
18Processor points0
8Net points8
26Algae points8
53Total teleop37
Reef
4L4#4
4L3#3
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
15Game pieces#13
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +1
0Foul points24
87Total score88

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
148
#1
63.30.8
55.256.0
Auto14.2
Teleop41.2
End7.8
red by 24.1
39.10.2
31.231.5
Auto10.1
Teleop22.1
End6.8
Second
9457
#30
8.41.3
11.913.2
Auto2.0
Teleop4.3
End2.1
blue by 17.1
7119
#10
25.50.4
19.820.2
Auto7.0
Teleop13.9
End4.6
Third
3282
#22
6.11.3
8.29.5
Auto2.3
Teleop1.9
End1.9
blue by 9.8
8816
#20
15.90.4
9.59.9
Auto4.4
Teleop10.0
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
49%Auto oddsMissed47%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
71%Barge oddsEarned43%Barge oddsMissed