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Red51
419225.5
415318.9
652614.2
Blue119
541145.4
14863.3
464118.2
0%Model gave it100%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions49130010015051119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+25
Teleop+54
Endgame+62
Fouls+68
AutonomousBlue +25
0Leave6
2Coral scored#6
12Coral points31
12Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +29
5Coral scored#9
19Coral points34
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#4
6Processor points12
8Net points16
14Algae points28
33Total teleop62
Reef
2L4#4
2L3#4
2L2#4
1L1 · trough#3
10Game pieces#21
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +68
0Foul points6
51Total score119

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4192
#24
25.50.4
18.918.4
Auto2.6
Teleop20.7
End2.3
blue by 37.7
148
#1
63.30.1
56.056.1
Auto14.2
Teleop41.2
End7.8
Second
18.90.4
20.720.2
Auto4.8
Teleop10.2
End3.8
blue by 26.5
45.40.2
32.332.5
Auto10.4
Teleop27.1
End7.9
Third
6526
#21
14.20.3
15.315.1
Auto3.3
Teleop10.0
End0.9
blue by 4.0
4641
#14
18.20.2
22.923.1
Auto6.5
Teleop11.1
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
23%Auto oddsEarned93%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
23%Barge oddsMissed79%Barge oddsEarned