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Red114
873221.0
910547.0
949232.9
Blue46
915614.1
94578.4
881813.5
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7440020608010012011446

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+66Teleop
+76Endgame
+68Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
6Leave3
2Coral scored#1
10Coral points6
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +59
17Coral scored#6
60Coral points21
2Processor algae#0
3Net algae#1
12Processor points0
12Net points4
24Algae points4
84Total teleop25
Reef
9L4#3
4L3#1
4L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
24Game pieces#8
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +68
0Foul points8
114Total score46

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.05.2
27.032.2
Auto10.5
Teleop31.3
End5.2
red by 32.9
9156
#28
14.10.6
16.415.8
Auto4.0
Teleop7.5
End2.6
Second
32.95.2
25.030.2
Auto5.1
Teleop25.6
End2.1
red by 19.4
8818
#18
13.50.6
13.913.3
Auto2.7
Teleop10.3
End0.4
Third
8732
#13
21.03.1
15.518.6
Auto4.8
Teleop14.3
End1.9
red by 12.7
9457
#30
8.40.6
13.212.6
Auto2.0
Teleop4.3
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
42%Auto oddsEarned20%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
37%Barge oddsEarned35%Barge oddsMissed