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Red24
70918.3
33557.6
420622.5
Blue58
32826.1
543120.2
129641.3
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5483020401001202458

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
Teleop+16
Endgame+28
Fouls+34
AutonomousRed +6
3Leave6
2Coral scored#0
9Coral points0
12Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +22
2Coral scored#6
8Coral points22
0Processor algae#0
0Net algae#2
0Processor points0
0Net points8
0Algae points8
8Total teleop30
Reef
1L4#3
1L3#1
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
4Game pieces#8
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +34
0Foul points6
24Total score58

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4206
#25
22.53.5
31.227.7
Auto5.8
Teleop14.7
End1.9
blue by 18.8
41.31.5
40.038.4
Auto7.0
Teleop25.0
End9.3
Second
7091
#26
8.33.5
15.211.7
Auto2.9
Teleop5.3
End0.2
blue by 11.9
5431
#17
20.22.6
25.222.7
Auto3.0
Teleop14.9
End2.2
Third
3355
#27
7.63.5
8.75.3
Auto2.8
Teleop3.0
End1.8
red by 1.5
3282
#22
6.12.6
10.07.5
Auto2.3
Teleop1.9
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
32%Auto oddsEarned22%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
18%Barge oddsMissed70%Barge oddsEarned