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Red91
750610.2
75354.1
14863.3
Blue61
617114.6
541145.4
652614.2
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions90652040801001201409161

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+20Teleop
+30Endgame
+30Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
3Leave6
3Coral scored#1
17Coral points3
20Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +9
9Coral scored#7
33Coral points26
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#4
12Processor points6
12Net points16
24Algae points22
57Total teleop48
Reef
5L4#3
4L3#2
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#2
17Game pieces#13
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +30
0Foul points0
91Total score61

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
148
#1
63.30.7
56.156.8
Auto14.2
Teleop41.2
End7.8
red by 17.9
45.40.2
32.532.4
Auto10.4
Teleop27.1
End7.9
Second
7506
#19
10.21.1
17.518.6
Auto2.8
Teleop5.4
End2.1
blue by 4.3
6171
#16
14.60.2
14.914.8
Auto4.5
Teleop9.6
End0.5
Third
7535
#31DQ
4.11.1
7.28.3
Auto1.5
Teleop1.0
End1.6
blue by 10.1
6526
#21
14.20.1
15.115.0
Auto3.3
Teleop10.0
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
76%Auto oddsEarned43%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
63%Barge oddsEarned29%Barge oddsMissed