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Red63
419225.5
1001421.9
912848.7
Blue91
676811.5
910547.0
568212.6
93%Model gave it7%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9053204060801001201406391

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+13
Teleop+24
Endgame+28
Fouls+28
AutonomousBlue +13
0Leave9
1Coral scored#2
6Coral points10
6Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +11
11Coral scored#11
41Coral points38
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#4
6Processor points12
8Net points16
14Algae points28
55Total teleop66
Reef
5L4#5
3L3#3
3L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
15Game pieces#19
BargeBlue +4
2Cage & park6
2Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +28
0Foul points0
63Total score91

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48.71.9
44.242.3
Auto13.8
Teleop30.1
End4.9
red by 1.7
47.04.2
32.236.3
Auto10.5
Teleop31.3
End5.2
Second
4192
#24
25.51.9
18.416.6
Auto2.6
Teleop20.7
End2.3
red by 12.9
5682
#15
12.62.5
10.012.5
Auto3.0
Teleop7.1
End2.6
Third
21.91.9
17.115.2
Auto1.9
Teleop18.1
End2.0
red by 10.4
6768
#29
11.54.2
11.515.6
Auto3.9
Teleop7.1
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
53%Auto oddsMissed37%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
21%Barge oddsMissed22%Barge oddsMissed