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Red75
1034023.2
420622.5
873221.0
Blue77
949232.9
711925.5
284833.0
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions641020501507577

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+2
Endgame+2
Fouls+2
AutonomousBlue +3
3Leave0
3Coral scored#4
13Coral points19
16Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +1
10Coral scored#11
37Coral points40
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
6Processor points6
12Net points8
18Algae points14
55Total teleop54
Reef
5L4#7
4L3#3
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
17Game pieces#18
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +2
0Foul points0
75Total score77

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.20.4
19.419.9
Auto4.2
Teleop17.3
End1.7
blue by 9.8
33.02.4
38.035.5
Auto8.8
Teleop21.7
End2.5
Second
4206
#25
22.50.4
27.728.2
Auto5.8
Teleop14.7
End1.9
blue by 10.4
32.92.4
30.227.8
Auto5.1
Teleop25.6
End2.1
Third
8732
#13
21.00.3
18.618.9
Auto4.8
Teleop14.3
End1.9
blue by 4.5
7119
#10
25.52.4
24.722.3
Auto7.0
Teleop13.9
End4.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
51%Auto oddsEarned89%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
35%Barge oddsMissed71%Barge oddsMissed