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Red48
94578.4
70918.3
949232.9
Blue98
568212.6
873221.0
419225.5
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5053203040607080904898

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+26
Endgame+26
Fouls+50
Autonomouslevel
3Leave6
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points3
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +26
9Coral scored#12
31Coral points43
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#3
0Processor points6
4Net points12
4Algae points18
35Total teleop61
Reef
3L4#6
3L3#3
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
11Game pieces#17
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +50
0Foul points24
48Total score98

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.90.1
27.827.8
Auto5.1
Teleop25.6
End2.1
red by 7.4
4192
#24
25.52.9
16.619.5
Auto2.6
Teleop20.7
End2.3
Second
9457
#30
8.40.1
11.311.4
Auto2.0
Teleop4.3
End2.1
blue by 12.7
8732
#13
21.01.7
18.920.6
Auto4.8
Teleop14.3
End1.9
Third
7091
#26
8.30.1
8.38.3
Auto2.9
Teleop5.3
End0.2
blue by 4.3
5682
#15
12.61.7
12.514.2
Auto3.0
Teleop7.1
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
22%Auto oddsMissed37%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
40%Barge oddsMissed15%Barge oddsMissed